AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, November 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 15%
2 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
3 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 19%
3 TANI Tino 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
5 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
6 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
7 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
8 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
9 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
10 CHEN Cooper 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
11 HAO Johnny 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
12 CHAN Henry 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
13 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% -
14 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
15 LI Yidong A. 100% 98% 81% 41% 11% 1%
16 RONG Jasper 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
17 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
18 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 20% 2%
19 CAO Donald 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
20 KROON Landon 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
21 XU Yixiao 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
22 ZHAO Aidan 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
23 YU Ian 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
24 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
25 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
26 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
27 LIU Yijin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
28 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
29 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
30 IYER Neil 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
31 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
32 BRUM Charles E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
33 SLIGAR Jackson 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
33 CHEN Boaz 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
35 LI Philip 100% 92% 62% 23% 3% -
36 CRICOL Damian 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
37 KAYDALIN David 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
38 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 5%
39 IM Tyler 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
40 LIU Daniel 100% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
41 DANG Kainoa 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
42 WANG Edward 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
43 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 99% 81% 41% 11% 1%
43 LEE Brendan 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
45 LIU Nico 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
45 DAGUIO Derek 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% - -
47 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
48 LI Allan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
49 LIANG Preston 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
50 YUEN Caleb 100% 91% 51% 14% 2% -
51 VAN ROY Ray 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
52 ZHU Alexander 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
53 WEI preston 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
54 YUE Ivan 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
55 PARK Emerson 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
56 LUNDGREN Theo 100% 62% 10% 1% - - -
57 KANG Alan 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
58 WARD Carter 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
59 CHEN Brian 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
59 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 77% 34% 7% - -
61 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
62 MOORE Greyson 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
63 FLORES Mateo Pakal 100% 54% 7% - - - -
64 RYU Andrew Junsang 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.