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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Chloe I. - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
2 PENG Serena - - 3% 21% 47% 29%
3 BEAVER Ava - 1% 9% 35% 41% 15%
3 SAIFEE Lamya - 1% 8% 30% 44% 18%
5 HO Addison - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
6 HAN Crystal - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
7 YANG Audrey - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
8 HSU Kaylin - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
9 REN Kayley - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
10 SUN Chloe - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
11 SUN Emily - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
12 CHANG Elizabeth - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
13 ZHANG Eunice - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
14 NAIR Supriya - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
15 LAI Sophia - - 1% 11% 38% 38% 12%
16 CASTANEDA Keira - - 2% 21% 48% 29%
17 ZHANG Soleil C. - - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
18 HAN Ashley - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
18 SWANSON Alexa - 1% 6% 24% 42% 24% 4%
20 YAN Noelle - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
21 ZOU Ella - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
22 KIM Sydney 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
23 DUAN Sophie - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
24 DENG Melissa - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
25 OH Ceana - - 6% 25% 44% 25%
25 KO Claire - - 7% 31% 43% 19%
27 MU Allison - - 7% 31% 43% 19%
28 WYNN Kylie - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
29 BROWN Lola - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
30 VO Bao-Vy - - - 5% 28% 45% 22%
31 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
32 TAO Ann 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
33 CARVAJAL Sofia - 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
34 XIE Su - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
35 ZHENG Zoe 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 3%
36 PENG Charlotte - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
37 LEVESQUE Brielle - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
38 GOEL Riyana 8% 43% 36% 12% 2% - -
39 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
40 LIU Grace 2% 15% 40% 33% 9% 1% -
41 GUAN Adeline - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 7%
42 LENK Sophie - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
43 YONG Rosalind 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
44 ZHANG Ivy - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
45 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
46 YUEN Elsie 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
47 ZHANG Gwenyth 7% 31% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
48 HAFEZ Tahiyah - 2% 14% 44% 33% 7%
49 CUI alivia 1% 9% 41% 36% 12% 1%
50 HAN Mia 2% 15% 40% 32% 10% 1%
51 GUO Audrey 11% 43% 38% 8% 1% -
52 POEI Lauren 9% 38% 41% 11% 1% -
53 LAY Apollonia 1% 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
54 HAN Gian - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
55 TUAN Sophie 1% 13% 37% 36% 11% 1% -
56 DESERANNO Seren 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
57 NIRGUDE Esha 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
58 THERON Zoe 10% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
59 KHAIRUL ANWAR Rania Zara 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
60 TIKHONOVA Sofia - 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
61 LIU Emily 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
62 COX Sophia 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
63 BAE Yooju 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
64 DESAI Esha 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
65 LUO Miranda - 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
66 MENG Annabel 1% 9% 33% 38% 16% 3% -
67 WU Elynna 18% 45% 29% 7% 1% -
68 CHO Karis 35% 46% 17% 2% - -
69 PIQUETTE Annika 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
70 HOM Avery 32% 53% 14% 1% - -
71 FUNG Sarafina 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
72 CHOI Sophie 41% 41% 16% 3% - - -
73 HUGHES Olivia 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
74 YANG Luna 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
75 KRYLTSOVA Eva 4% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
76 WU Chingfei Amber 26% 46% 23% 4% - - -
76 TAN Shouyin 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
78 TULYAG Sayda 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
79 SCHULTZ Nomi 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
80 LIN Phoebe 31% 46% 19% 3% - - -
81 LUCAS Ava 49% 44% 7% - - -
82 MANANSALA Zara 48% 40% 10% 1% - -
83 SAH Madeleine 67% 29% 4% - - - -
84 MALIUANAG Aerin 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
85 BENNYHOFF Naia 50% 40% 10% 1% - - -
86 MA Yifei 52% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.