Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 8:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
2 CHAVAN Arya 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
3 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
3 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
5 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
7 LAURI Keira 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
8 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
9 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 100% 93% 62% 23% 3%
10 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
11 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14% 1%
12 FREEMAN Armine 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
13 CHANG Elle 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
14 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
15 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
16 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
17 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 12%
18 HU Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
19 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 13%
20 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
21 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
22 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
23 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
24 JUILLERAT Elina 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
25 STADNIK Emilia 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% -
26 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
27 WANG JiaQi 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
28 COX catie 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
29 KHOST Maeve 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12%
30 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9%
31 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
32 FOSS Persephone 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
33 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% - -
34 KONNIKOV Esther E. 100% 83% 42% 9% 1% -
35 BIBLER Anna 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
36 SHAPLEN Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 78% 33% 5%
36 FUNG Maya 100% 84% 41% 7% - -
38 HILD Anya 100% 100% 94% 68% 24% 3% -
39 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
39 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
41 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
41 KHERA Anya 100% 55% 11% 1% - -
43 BROWN Aria 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
44 KULIK Sophia 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1% -
45 CHURCH Madeline 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% - -
46 KESSLER Amelia 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
47 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
48 FONG Abigail 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
49 HARRISON Allie 100% 73% 21% 3% - -
50 HUANG Eleanor 100% 35% 6% - - - -
51 SONG Emily 100% 95% 63% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.