Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 CHIANG William 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% -
3 LEE Harrison 100% 99% 90% 52% 8%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 3%
5 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 93% 65% 19%
6 BEYER Timothy 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
7 CHEN Evan 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
8 YAO Irvine 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
9 DANILENKO Daniel 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% < 1%
10 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
11 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
12 SHAO Mason 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
13 BREWSTER William 100% 60% 19% 3% -
14 YOON Jonathan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
15 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
16 WU Matthew 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
17 RICK Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
18 SCOGGIN Charles 100% 89% 47% 11% 1%
19 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
20 SHAYAKHMETOV Maxim 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
21 JIN Derek 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
22 APOSTOL Matthew Krystian 100% 99% 89% 51% 6%
23 SANTANA Sebastian 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.