Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 8:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
2 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 35% 8%
3 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 28% 5%
3 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
5 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 4%
5 CHENG Sawyer 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
7 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
8 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 8%
9 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
10 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
11 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 3%
12 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 60% 28% 8% 1%
13 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
14 LOO Jason 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
15 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
16 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 97% 83% 54% 24% 6% 1%
17 SAYAR Luke 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 9% 1%
18 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 6% < 1%
19 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
20 SO Morgan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 9%
21 MHLEY Gavin 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
22 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
23 OREN Daniel 100% 98% 87% 60% 29% 8% 1%
24 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 27% 5%
25 QASBA Rudrh 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
26 LORENZ Evan 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
27 GRIGORYAN Sevak 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
28 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
29 VIDREVICH David 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
30 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 92% 54% 9% 1% - -
31 SAGE Nikolai 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 12% 2%
32 MADHAVAN Arjun 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
33 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
34 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
35 GUPTA Arav 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
36 PEACE Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
37 CAREY Sam 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
38 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
39 FRANCOIS Gabriel 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
40 SO Dylan 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 10% 1%
41 EARLEY Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
42 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
43 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
44 TULUPMAN Asher 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
45 HUANG Bret 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
46 SONG Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 52% 22% 5% 1%
47 CRAWFORD William 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
48 WAXLER Alex 100% 98% 89% 64% 33% 10% 1%
49 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
50 MONELL Franics (Frank) 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
51 CUSSON William 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
51 ZHANG Joseph 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
53 SAUVE Quinn 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
54 MENZIES Liam 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.