Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
2 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
3 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
5 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
7 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
8 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
9 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
10 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
11 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
12 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
13 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
14 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
15 SHTEYN Mark 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
16 KASPER Aaron 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
17 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
18 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
19 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 26% 3%
20 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
21 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
22 LO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
23 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 16%
24 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
25 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
26 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
27 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 4%
28 MYLEK Peter 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 3%
29 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
30 DOWNEY Baran 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
31 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
32 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
33 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
34 TENG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 12%
35 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
36 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
37 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
38 KESSLER Josh 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
39 KESSLER Nathan 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
39 BROOK Joel 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1% -
39 CHUNG Connor 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1% -
42 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
43 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
43 TSAO Oliver 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% -
45 DEPEW Spencer 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
46 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
47 BONDARENCO Vlad 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
48 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
49 HUROWITZ Max 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
50 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 16%
51 LEE Andrew 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% -
52 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
53 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 4%
54 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
55 MATTOO Surya 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
55 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
57 KATZ Ryan 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
58 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 4%
58 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
60 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
61 SMINK Oliver 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
62 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
63 ELIN Adam E. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
64 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
65 SMITH Vaughn 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
66 WANG daniel 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
67 PEACE Joshua 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
68 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 99% 88% 40% 7% 1% -
69 XU Justin 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
70 LIN Philip T. 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% -
71 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
72 SEN Christian 100% 78% 32% 6% - - -
73 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
74 LAUB William 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
75 JIN David 100% 78% 18% 1% - - -
76 MOULTON Ian 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% -
77 PERRON Robert 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 1%
78 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
79 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
80 BRANDOFINO James M. 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
81 DEKA Tanush 100% 100% 98% 76% 28% 4% -
82 MAO Jeremy 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
83 RYAN Kai 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% -
84 YOSHEA Henry 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
85 RAGAN STEINSSON Sigurdur 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
86 HO Jacob 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
87 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 64% 19% 2% - - -
88 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
89 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
90 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 37% 3% - - - -
91 TSAO Alister 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
92 DOWNEND Aaron 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.