Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC Foil and Epee only

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NOWAK Jakub P. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
2 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
3 RIBAUDO David J. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
3 KRZYSIAK David F. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
5 CONKLIN Jim - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
6 FU Jason 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
7 BEACH John - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
8 CIOLINO Jacob F. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
9 GREGORY Abram - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
10 SPINA Joseph B. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
11 KULIKOWSKI Adam J. - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 17%
12 ELTERMAN Lev 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
13 KAROLAK Dale W. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
14 PAULSEN Zachary 3% 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
15 PARCELEWICZ John M. 3% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
16 ROBINSON Matthew 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
17 JOHNSON Jay - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
18 CHOI Christian 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
19 CHRISTIAN John R. 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
20 TIERNEY Luke 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
21 GREENE Patrick 67% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.