Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC Foil and Epee only

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
2 WINGLER Cole 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
3 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
3 WEISS Quintin 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
5 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
6 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 12%
7 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
8 ROBINSON Ezekiel 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
9 ZUCKER Avi 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
10 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
11 ELTOFT Caden 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
12 MARTIN Wesley 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
13 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
14 IBRAHIM Khaden 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
15 BALES Gabriel 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
16 DIFRANK Tae 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
17 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
18 MA Nolan 100% 99% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
19 BLACK John 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
20 TURNER Jackson 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.