Nov 12 @ Marx Fencing Foil NE Developmental Series

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Marx Fencing Academy - Acton, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 HOU Gaven 100% 99% 83% 16%
2 REN Ryan 100% 92% 59% 20% 2%
3 MANGLANI Maya 100% 98% 79% 35% 5%
4 WOODTHORPE Christopher 100% 95% 71% 33% 6%
5 SHUTZER Lillian 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
6 POLING Katherine 100% 94% 60% 18% 1%
7 BO Aiden 100% 89% 56% 20% 3%
8 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 75% 24% 2% -
9 GOODMAN Carden 100% 99% 85% 47% 12%
10 BU Ethan 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
11 CONNELLY Malcolm 100% 100% 99% 82% 26%
12 DAWSON Myer 100% 66% 22% 3% -
14 KOEFERL Miles 100% 49% 10% 1%
15 VELEZ Grayson 100% 95% 59% 19% 2%
16 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
17 STEWART Cameron 100% 100% 92% 60% 18%
18 SPERBER Miles 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
19 BENNETT Emi 100% 82% 28% 2%
20 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 92% 60% 20% 2%
21 HAN Jiaren 100% 94% 61% 8% -
22 RUSSO Cole 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
23 ARNOULD Frederick 100% 97% 76% 34% 5%
25 CIANCHETTA David 100% 99% 87% 45%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.