Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div II Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
2 LIN Felix 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 3%
3 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
6 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
7 XU Ivan 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
8 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 14%
9 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 99% 83% 12%
10 OTT Alexander 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
11 SU Ji 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
12 BAKIAN Tristan 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%
14 OLIVER Isaac 100% 97% 56% 8% -
15 TRAYNOR Jake 100% 95% 66% 25% 3% -
16 WALKER Terra 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
17 PARCELL Colby 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
18 ROSADO Leah 100% 66% 19% 2% -
19 BENINGHOVE Matthew 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 1%
20 LESTYAN Cat 100% 95% 41% 8% 1% -
21 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 98% 83% 43% 9% -
22 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 98% 74% 30% 5% -
23 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
24 BARR Corinne 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
25 CARTER Robert 100% 79% 31% 4% - -
26 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 72% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.