Fall Frolic 2022

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:30 AM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MAXWELL CJ 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
2 SHEHORN Connor 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
3 MOORE Sam 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
3 HAUSCHILD Carson 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 2%
5 KELLY Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
6 FIGUEROA Ramon 100% 100% 98% 83% 34% 4%
7 MILLER Jonathan (Jack) 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
8 MILES Greyson Miles 100% 97% 80% 41% 9% 1%
9 MCARTHUR Kemp 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
10 LITTLE Drew 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
11 COUSINS Patrick 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
12 HAYAG Kaiden 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.