4th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Results

Birth Year

Reset

Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome^*		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	BEACH John	V V V V	V V V V	3.5	4	+0.5
2	STEELE Frank A.	V V D V	V V V D	2.7	3	+0.3
3	DOUGLAS Mary K.	V V D V	V V D	1.6	3	+1.4
3	GOEWEY Tyler	V D V D	V V D	3.0	2	-1.0
5	HART Jackson	V V V V	D	2.9	4	+1.1
6	ARMBRUSTER David	D V V V	V D	2.8	3	+0.2
7	WANG Grace	V D V V	V D	0.9	3	+2.1
8	METTE Russell	V D V D	V D	2.2	2	-0.2
9	STEPHENS Rick W.	V D V D	D	2.4	2	-0.4
10	CHRISTIAN John R.	D V V D	D	2.6	2	-0.6
11	AUGER Nolan	V D D D	D	1.3	1	-0.3
12	METTE Alexis	D D D V	D	1.1	1	-0.1
13	GIOCOLO David	D D D D	D	0.4	0	-0.4
14	KOKKER Thomas	D D D D	D	1.7	0	-1.7
15	HOUTS Jason	D D D D	D	0.9	0	-0.9

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color	Opponent's Difficulty	Probability of victory
	Very Hard	0% to 20%
	Hard	20% to 40%
	Roughly even	40% to 60%
	Easy	60% to 80%
	Very Easy	80% to 100%

Explanation

This visual map of the competition helps to understand:

How difficult or easy everyone's pool and the direct elimination path was
How well each fencer performed according to expectations relative to their strength level

Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.