7th Annual Orange & Blue

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCGUIRE Christian - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
2 HONG Rubin - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
3 LITTLE Avery 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
5 LAMONTAGNE Derek - - - 1% 14% 85%
6 BALLOU Johnathan - 1% 7% 30% 39% 20% 4%
7 BROWN Olivia 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
8 SHIH Christina - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
9 DUPREE Thomas - - - 5% 26% 47% 23%
10 SEOL Brian - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
11 RODDENBERRY Steven - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
12 TIAGI Daniel - 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
13 MINNE Andrew - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
14 MORELAND Jack 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
15 HARKONEN Eemil 4% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
16 BOWMAN Tamara - - 4% 26% 47% 23%
17 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas - 1% 6% 24% 44% 24% 2%
18 WOLF Gabriel 1% 6% 24% 37% 26% 6%
19 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 1% 10% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
20 GLEASON Sean - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
21 BRUNER Thomas - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
22 PROUDNIK Anthony - - 6% 33% 58% 4%
23 RUIZ Natalie 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
24 BLAIR Ray - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
25 DESANTO Juniper 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
26 AKULOVA Kat 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
27 TIAGI George 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
28 BAINO Lorenzo 3% 25% 44% 23% 4% - -
29 RYAN Alyssa 17% 59% 21% 3% - -
30 CEBALLOS M. Micaiah 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
31 RIVERA Daniel 5% 36% 39% 17% 3% -
32 MAUL Judy 3% 63% 29% 4% - - -
33 LOPEZ Lincoln - 11% 66% 21% 2% -
34 PENNER Charlie 25% 49% 22% 4% - -
35 SERVISS Mary 57% 36% 7% - - -
36 BELL Adam - 4% 24% 56% 15% -
37 KEENY Ryder - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
38 WHITLEY Alexis 3% 26% 41% 24% 5% - -
39 LAMBERT Nicole 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
40 GRIFFIS Abbie 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
41 FREEMAN Rian < 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
42 VAN DER VLUGT Zachary 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
43 MOTTLAU Maddox 2% 18% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
44 MEDINA Sophia 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
45 COLWELL Madeline 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.