7th Annual Orange & Blue

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REYES Manuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 ANDRADE Eduardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
5 LIAO Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
6 GUEVARA Isaac 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
7 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
8 LOVE Georgina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
9 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9% < 1%
10 OROZCO Francis 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16% 1%
11 RODRIGUEZ Akemi 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
12 SMITH-MORALES David 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 20%
13 PACILIO Jacob 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15%
14 DAFFRON Quintin 100% 100% 99% 90% 51% 12%
15 WU Velyn 100% 97% 75% 30% 5% -
16 WEGMAN Jack 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
17 HERNANDEZ Veronica 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
18 AGUILAR Eric 100% 65% 21% 3% -
19 GOEBEL Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
20 WEDDLE Carson 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
21 EXNICIOS Rex 100% 94% 66% 22% 1%
22 GALLUCCI Julianna 100% 99% 81% 41% 10% 1%
23 STORER Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 2%
24 JIANG Nicole 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
25 WU Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 11%
26 HERNANDEZ Melany 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
27 MILLETTE Brigid 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
28 LEADBETTER Gordon 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 1%
29 LIVINGSTON Sean 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
30 DAFFRON Reese 100% 99% 82% 40% 7% -
31 CASEY Pierce 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% 1%
32 KUYLER Karl 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
33 CHOWDHURY Arman 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% -
34 ALIZO Diego 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
35 URIBE LEON Sebastian 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
36 MYNATT Marcus 100% 99% 89% 53% 13% 1%
37 PICKENS Grace 100% 85% 37% 7% -
38 RANDAZZO Nurin 100% 56% 11% 1% - -
39 NAMM Emily 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1% -
40 HUSSEY Aidan 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
41 GARCIA Ericka 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
42 BIWANG Aeron 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
42 TORNEY Genevieve 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
44 DASILVA Mia 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
45 BURMAN Timothy 100% 99% 89% 49% 8%
46 NGUYEN Leon 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
47 TORRES Alana 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
48 MORENO Mariapaz 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
49 KATSIONOVA Alisa 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
50 EXNICIOS Nancy 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3% -
51 KARPF Jonah 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6% -
51 HOLMES Kaley 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
53 LEE Andrew 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
54 VASSALLO Angela 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% - -
55 SANCHEZ Carlos 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
56 PENNER Charlie 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
57 PROVOST Sebastian 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
58 WONG Grace 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
59 PENSYL Ethan 100% 76% 27% 3% - -
60 VILLALOBOS Ava 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1%
62 JAVATE Ryan 100% 99% 91% 58% 15% -
63 MACK Jacob 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
64 WEIHRICH Amber 100% 99% 93% 71% 39% 12% 2%
65 DAY Noelle 100% 94% 47% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.