American Challenge RYC/RJC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 20, 2022 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
2 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
5 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 7%
6 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 12%
7 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
8 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18% 2%
9 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
10 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
11 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 2%
12 EYER Brooke 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
13 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
14 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
15 LI savannah 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
16 PEDERSEN Clara 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
17 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
18 ZHANG Zoey 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
19 REZA Fukaina 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7% -
20 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10% -
21 WANG Selina 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
22 ALLEN Sophia 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1% -
23 LIU Jenna 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
24 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
25 LIANG Jasmine 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1% -
26 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
27 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
28 ZHANG Caroline 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.