Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACSaturday, July 3, 2021 at 1:45 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4253 | 4402 - 4117 |
| 5 - 8 | 3966 | 4044 - 3890 |
| 9 - 16 | 3830 | 3921 - 3704 |
| 17 - 32 | 3605 | 3774 - 3435 |
| 33 - 64 | 3270 | 3590 - 3114 |
| 65 - 116 | 2883 | 3265 - 1922 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.