Event Results
Athens Fencing Fall ChallengeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MARSHALL Wesley | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 2 | CARDENAS Nathan | D V V V | V V V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 3 | CAMPBELL Justin | V V D V | V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | MCDANIEL Eamon | D V V D | V V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 5 | CHRONISTER Charles | V V V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 6 | JACKSON Viktoria | V V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 7 | HONG Ryan | V D D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 8 | MESA Brian | V D D V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 9 | SWARTZ Emile | D D V V V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 10 | MOSS Riley | D D V V V | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 11 | HOANG Ethan | V V D D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 12 | FERNANDEZ Sabrina | D V V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 13 | HWANG Eric | V D D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 14 | ECKARD Melody | D V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 15 | FERRARO Nicholas | D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 16 | ALVARENGA Darby | D D D D D | V D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 17 | BERNSTEIN Leo | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |