Santa' Revenge Post-COVID 1

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 4, 2022 at 8:45 AM

Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
2 MURPHY Ryan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 27%
3 LI Lianhan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
3 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
5 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
6 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
7 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -
8 RILEY Colin T. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
9 DREYER Nadia S. 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
10 HANSEN Lars 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
11 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
12 MORRIS Luke 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
13 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 94% 66% 18% -
14 LIN Merry 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
15 CORBIN Natan 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
16 SI Kevin 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
17 OUYANG Jolie 100% 98% 77% 35% 7% 1%
18 CULP Joshua 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.