Santa' Revenge Post-COVID 1

Div II Mixed Saber

Sunday, December 4, 2022 at 10:45 AM

Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANDRADE VARGAS Jose Ricardo 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
2 KLEBS Robert 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% < 1%
3 HUA Catherine W. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
3 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 17% 3%
6 CATLETT III Robert 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
7 REHM Liam 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
8 JOHNSON Waldron 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 5% -
9 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
10 COLBY Mercer 100% 99% 90% 56% 19% 2%
11 VENCILL Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
12 SONI Nikhil 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
13 LINDQUIST John 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
14 CHOHAN Jibreel 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
15 BENSON Jacob 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
16 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
17 PHAM Matthew 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
18 WODISKA Ava 100% 86% 48% 14% 1% -
19 MARTIN Audrey 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.