Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, March 23, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ADEL Ali 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
2 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
3 CHEN Howard 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
5 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
6 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
7 PENTON Robert 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
8 DU Gavin J. 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
9 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
10 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
11 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
12 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 11%
13 HENDERSON James C. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
14 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
15 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
16 MATT Chris 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
17 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
18 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4%
19 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 99% 84% 44% 10% 1%
20 BOHRA Rohan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
21 GANTA Vijay 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
22 MORREALE John 100% 100% 94% 64% 22% 3%
23 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
24 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
25 YAO Jonathan 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
26 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
27 LEONARD Cole 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
28 PATRICK Timothy M. 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% -
29 PAN Andrew W. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
30 WU Nicholas R. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
31 STONE Christopher A. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
34 CRUZ-BARBEN Julian 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
35 ROPER Evan C. 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
36 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
37 LEE Jude H. 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
38 MOORE Evan M. 100% 73% 19% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.