Foothills December Challenge 2022

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Foothills Fencing Academy - Greenville, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CAMPBELL Justin 100% 100% 99% 89% 49% 9%
2 WILSON Todd S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
3 MCARTHUR Kemp 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
3 HAYWOOD Madison 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
5 MONAGHAN Claire (Micah) 100% 99% 90% 57% 16% 1%
6 COUSINS Patrick 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 5%
7 BLACKWOOD Asher 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
8 MCNEW Declan 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 25%
9 LIONBERGER Gillian 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 2%
10 CALL Mackenzie 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
11 BRUCE Naomi 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
12 FARRIS Niels 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
13 GILLIAM Riley 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
14 SHIEH Kiley 100% 99% 77% 32% 4% -
15 RILEY Owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
16 BOTKIN Elizabeth 100% 88% 43% 3% - -
17 GROSSMAN Jackson 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
18 MADDEN Sidney 100% 94% 65% 26% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.