December NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, December 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
3 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
5 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
6 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
7 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
8 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
9 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
10 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
11 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
12 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
13 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
14 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
15 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
16 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
17 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 17%
18 LOCKE Savannah 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% < 1%
19 CHEN Jia P. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
20 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
21 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
22 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
23 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
24 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
25 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
26 CHO Cameron S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
27 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
28 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
29 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
30 LEE Lavender 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
31 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
32 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
33 ZEISS Madison E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
34 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
35 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
36 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
37 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
38 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
39 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
40 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
41 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
41 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
43 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
44 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
45 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
46 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
46 LI Rachel Y. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
48 LUO Sandra J. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
49 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
50 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
51 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
52 MEI Sarah 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
53 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
54 LEE Yumin 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 24% 4%
55 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
56 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
57 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
58 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
59 YU Lauren C. 100% 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
60 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
61 BIASCO Anna 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
62 CHEN Allison V. 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2%
63 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
64 RENTON Samantha 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
65 KOROL Neta 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
66 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
67 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
68 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
69 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
70 KIM Rachael 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
71 LI Shuang 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
72 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
73 MI Aileen 100% 84% 40% 9% 1% -
74 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
74 HE Fenghuan 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
76 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% 1%
77 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
78 YANG Iris 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
79 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
80 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
81 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
82 XUE Alanna L. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
83 CHIN Sia 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
84 CALISE Ella 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
85 SUN Ruoxi 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
86 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
87 PENG Amber L. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
88 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
89 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
90 WHELAN Amelia 100% 62% 17% 3% - - -
91 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 81% 38% 10% 1% - -
92 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
93 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
94 KIM Rachel 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
95 KOO Rachel A. 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
95 WANDJI Anais 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1%
97 MI Anning 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
98 SEAL Julie T. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
99 VIANNA Gabriella 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
99 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
101 SHA Yi Ling 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
102 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 11% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.