December NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, December 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
2 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
5 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
6 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
7 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 13%
8 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
9 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
10 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
11 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
12 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
13 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
14 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
15 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
16 KIM Zoe L. 100% 99% 87% 54% 15% 1%
17 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
18 LIU Nicole 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
19 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
20 MAO Amy 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
21 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
22 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
23 WANG Karen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
24 SMITH Grace L. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
25 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
26 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
27 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
28 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
29 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
30 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
31 KALE Anika A. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
32 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
33 BEI Karen 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 13%
34 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
35 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
36 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
37 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
38 LOMBARD Ella 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
39 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
40 REID Sobia 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
41 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
42 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
43 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
44 WU Fan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
45 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
46 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
47 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
48 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
49 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
50 LUO Ashley 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
51 LEE Olive 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
52 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
53 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
54 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
55 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
56 YOU Emily 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
57 PFEIFFER Rebecca C. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
58 SONG Angela 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% - -
59 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
60 LEE Yedda 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1% -
61 YAO KATHARINE 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
62 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
63 MUN Brianna K. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
64 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
65 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
66 BUSH emma 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
67 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
68 DESAI Meera P. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
69 LU Junyao 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
70 HESS Heidi J. 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
71 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
72 WANG Nora 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
73 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
74 LIU Christina A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
75 LEE Olivia 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
76 REID Anousheh 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 1%
77 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 3%
78 KIM Jayna 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
79 WELLS Tessa (Tesla) M. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
80 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
81 WITTE Vera 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
82 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
83 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
83 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
85 LONADIER Keira 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4% -
86 CARRIER Meredith 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
87 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
88 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
89 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
90 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
90 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
92 LIN Waiyuk 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
93 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
94 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% 1%
95 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
95 LU Samantha R. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
95 LI Fei 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
98 LI Alisha 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
98 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
100 LAN Alice S. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
101 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
102 BOTNER Olivia 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
103 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30% 4%
104 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
105 HICKS Grace 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
106 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
107 KORKIN Alice 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
108 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
108 LIN Ashley 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
110 YU Nicole J. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
111 HONG Elaine 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
112 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
113 ANDERSON Claire 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
113 SU Evelyn 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
115 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
116 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
117 GUJJA Misha 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
118 GAO Judy 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
119 SHU Youshan 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
120 YANG Alisa 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% 1%
121 ELSTON Sophia 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
121 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
123 NGUYEN Kira 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
124 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
125 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
126 HUANG Lanlan 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
127 BARON Sabina 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
128 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 74% 31% 6% - -
129 SUN Renee R. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
130 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
131 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
132 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
133 YAO Melinda 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
134 FENG ge 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
135 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
136 LEE Natasha 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
137 ZHU Serene M. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
138 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
139 SENYUVA Su 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
140 KUMAR Eva 100% 82% 40% 11% 1% - -
141 ZENG Katrina 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
142 LIANG Jingjing 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
143 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
144 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
145 AI Amy 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
146 YAO Yilin 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
146 DU Shunyi(Wendy) 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
148 CHA Eugenie 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
149 HEPLER Sarah 100% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
150 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 67% 25% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.