December NAC

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, December 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
2 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
5 XIAO Ruien 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
7 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
8 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
9 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
10 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
11 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
11 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
13 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
14 KIM Jayna 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
15 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
16 YAO Yilin 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
17 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
18 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
18 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
20 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
21 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
22 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
23 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
24 NGUYEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
25 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
26 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
27 SU Evelyn 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
28 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
29 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
30 CANNING Charlotte 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
30 ZHANG Yixuan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
32 GUO Luxi 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
33 RANDLEMAN Teresa 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
34 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
35 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
36 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
36 BRUNSON Nile 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
38 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 22% 1%
39 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
40 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
41 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
42 LI Judy 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
43 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
44 SONG Angela 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
45 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
46 DAHER Yasmine 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
47 BUSH emma 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 5%
47 BECKMAN Ana 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
49 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% 1%
50 KUMAR Eva 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
51 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
52 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
53 GUJJA Misha 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
54 SUN Renee R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
55 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
56 CARRIER Meredith 100% 69% 25% 4% -
57 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
58 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
59 MUN Brianna K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
60 LI Fei 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
61 LI Suri 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
62 XIONG Angelica 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1%
63 LU Samantha R. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
64 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
65 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
66 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
67 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
68 AI Amy 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
69 CHANG Celine A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
70 LIU Nicole 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 4%
71 ANDERSON Claire 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
72 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
73 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
74 REMEZA Alissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
75 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% -
76 GEVA Eliana 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
77 FENG ge 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
78 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
79 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
80 HESS Heidi J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
81 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
81 SENYUVA Su 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1%
81 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
84 CHOI Grace 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
85 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
86 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
87 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
88 KUMAR Anusha 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
89 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
90 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
91 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
92 LEEDER Elizabeth 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
93 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
94 DUONG Zoey 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
95 NGUYEN Ella 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
95 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
97 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
98 TANG Elaine 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
99 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 89% 52% 15% 2%
100 HUANG Lanlan 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 11% 1%
101 PULLARA Ashley 100% 99% 80% 44% 14% 3% -
102 ZHU Serene M. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
102 WANG Angelina 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
104 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
105 BEAVER Ava 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
105 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
107 LEWIS Rachel 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
108 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
109 LIN Ashley 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
110 MENDOZA zoie 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
111 PHUKAN Indra 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
112 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
113 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
114 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
115 LIN Ariel 100% 95% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
116 DONDISCH Andrea 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
117 LI Clara 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
118 WANG Victoria 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
119 YAO KATHARINE 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
120 WANG Jessie 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
121 ELSTON Sophia 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
122 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22% 2%
123 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
124 PECK Maia A. 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
125 TONG Lauren 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% -
126 CHA Eugenie 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
127 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
128 YOU Emily 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
129 KORKIN Alice 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
130 IYER Ishana 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
131 LEE Camilla 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
132 FERNLUND Helen 100% 93% 57% 17% 2% - -
133 TRAN Helena 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
134 FAN Elizabeth 100% 90% 54% 19% 3% -
135 CHENG Katherine 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
136 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
137 DAYAL Saahira 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
137 GUESNARD Maelig 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
139 LI Azalea 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
140 RUSSELL Alison 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
141 MARTIN Adriana 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
141 MULAGARI Swarasai 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
143 CHUANG Ramona 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
144 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
145 TAMBELLINI Savannah 100% 87% 49% 13% 2% - -
146 LIANG Jingjing 100% 93% 58% 17% 2% - -
147 SCANLAN Claire 100% 71% 21% 3% - - -
148 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
149 SHIV Avni 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
150 LIU Baihan 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
151 LAI Amanda 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
152 BROWN Riley 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% - -
153 LEE Samantha X. 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
154 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
155 BLANCO Ariia 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
156 CONNOLLY Natasha 100% 59% 14% 1% - - -
157 FREEMAN Kate 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
158 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
159 MEWES Katie M. 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
160 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
161 STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
162 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
163 VICKERMAN Lilly 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
164 CHANG chaehee 100% 18% 1% - - - -
165 OBERDERFER Viktoriia 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
166 YIN Gabriela 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
167 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.