Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACThursday, July 8, 2021 at 8:15 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3700 | 3802 - 3515 |
| 5 - 8 | 3378 | 3495 - 3287 |
| 9 - 16 | 3203 | 3271 - 3151 |
| 17 - 32 | 3034 | 3118 - 2940 |
| 33 - 64 | 2770 | 2920 - 2618 |
| 65 - 128 | 2282 | 2881 - 1504 |
| 129 - 130 | 1856 | 2316 - 1395 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.