December NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Monday, December 12, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
2 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
3 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
3 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
5 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
6 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
8 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 27%
9 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
10 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
11 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 50%
12 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
13 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 68%
14 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 11%
15 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25% 3%
16 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 24%
17 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
18 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
19 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
20 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
20 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
22 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 40%
23 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
24 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
25 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
26 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
27 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
28 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 19%
29 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
30 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 26%
31 YU Lauren C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
32 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 12%
33 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
34 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
35 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
36 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
37 WANG Zoie Z. 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 4% < 1%
38 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 23%
39 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
40 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 2% -
41 SEIGEL Norah 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
42 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
43 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
44 MI Aileen 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
45 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
46 CHEW Alexis T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
47 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
48 WONG Sophia M. 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
49 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 37% 6%
49 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% -
51 VIANNA Gabriella 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
52 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 10%
53 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
54 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 98% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
55 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
56 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
57 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 3%
58 DAVIES Ellie 100% 100% 92% 62% 21% 3% -
59 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
60 ZHOU Catherine 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1% -
61 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
62 DUAN Konnie 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
63 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
64 CHEN Renee 100% 97% 54% 13% 1%
65 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
66 YANG Iris 100% 100% 93% 61% 15%
67 FUNG Emma 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
68 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
69 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
70 CALISE Ella 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2%
71 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 85% 47% 12% 1%
72 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 99% 77% 35% 8% 1%
73 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28% 4%
74 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
75 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 13%
76 SUN Emily 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
77 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
78 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 99% 89% 50% 9% 1% -
79 GU Emily 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
80 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 97% 71% 23% 2% -
81 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 100% 100% 95% 66% 18% 1%
82 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
83 LIN Zhi tong 100% 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
84 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
85 CHIN Sia 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
86 FUNG Vera 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
87 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 95% 68% 23% 3% -
87 LAI Sophia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
89 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 2%
90 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
91 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
92 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
92 WEBB Ella 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
92 YANICELLI Sloane 100% 97% 75% 29% 4% - -
95 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
95 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
97 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
98 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
99 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1% -
100 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
101 PENG Amber L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 19% 2%
102 LEE emily 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
103 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 83% 37% 6%
104 LI Eleanor 100% 82% 28% 4% - - -
105 SHA Yi Ling 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
106 WHELAN Amelia 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
107 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 87% 50% 14% 1%
108 WANDJI Anais 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
109 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
110 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 99% 88% 56% 16% 2% -
111 VO Bao-Vy 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1% -
112 YANG Audrey 100% 99% 82% 40% 8% - -
113 KIM Rachel 100% 99% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
114 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
115 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 4%
116 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
117 MI Anning 100% 99% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
118 MU Allison 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
118 KAPOOR Saanvi 100% 54% 10% 1% - - -
120 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
121 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 99% 91% 54% 17% 2% -
122 LEE Yumin 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30% 4%
123 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
124 BEAVER Hannah 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% - -
124 BASSIK Eva 100% 88% 43% 10% 1% - -
126 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
127 SHIM Grace J. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
128 WANG Alison 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% - -
129 WELBORN Calissa 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
130 LEE Allison 100% 99% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
131 RICHARD Dominique 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% - -
132 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 95% 50% 13% 2% - -
133 YU Jane 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
134 CHATEL Margot 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
135 WANG Chloe 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
136 WANG Yudi 100% 90% 47% 11% 1% - -
137 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
138 LEVY Avery 100% 91% 45% 9% - -
139 WANG Jasmine 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% -
140 KO Claire 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
141 YIN Helen 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
142 RASO Olivia 100% 98% 63% 21% 3% - -
143 AGUENAOU Aida 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
144 PAULUS Isabella 100% 77% 31% 6% - - -
145 SHUM Elizabeth 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% - -
146 WANG Celine S. 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
146 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
148 CHAKRAPANI Ila 100% 37% 5% - - - -
148 SUN Ning Lu (Sophia) 100% 95% 49% 12% 1% - -
150 HOBSON Ava 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
150 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 67% 19% 2% - - -
152 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
153 LI Yuhe 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
154 BAIXAULI Carme 100% 94% 58% 18% 2% - -
155 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
156 TOBIN Brean 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
156 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 100% 38% 4% - - - -
158 ZHANG Selena 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
159 SOLOMIE Sabina 100% 9% - - -
160 CHOI Kailyn 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
160 SA Milla 100% 37% 5% - - - -
160 PHILLIPS Hattie 100% 73% 22% 3% - - -
163 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
164 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
165 ROLOFF Katarina M. 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
165 GOEL Riyana 100% 31% 3% - - - -
165 MCKAY Teresa 100% 9% - - - - -
168 GIRARD Emma 100% 33% 4% - - -
169 TAYLOR Gabrielle 100% 7% - - - -
170 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 65% 19% 2% - - -
171 ZHANG Rongrui 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
171 FONG Ellis 100% 22% 2% - - - -
171 CHENG Isa 100% 14% 1% - - - -
174 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
175 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 70% 21% 2% - - -
176 HWANG Chanel 100% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.