December NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Monday, December 12, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
5 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
6 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
7 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
8 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
9 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
10 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
11 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
12 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
13 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
14 HONG Elaine 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
15 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
16 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 12%
17 HU Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
18 XIAO Ruien 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
19 WU Fan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
20 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
21 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
22 NGUYEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28% 3%
23 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
24 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
25 ZHU Serene M. 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
26 SMITH Grace L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 4%
27 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
28 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
29 BECKMAN Ana 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
30 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
31 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
32 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
33 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
34 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
35 YIN Julia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
36 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 61%
37 REMEZA Alissa 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
38 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
39 LIN Waiyuk 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
40 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
41 POIRIER Ariane 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
42 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
43 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
44 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
45 MAO Amy 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
46 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
47 LAN Alice S. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
48 ELSTON Sophia 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
49 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
50 FENG ge 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
51 SU Evelyn 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
52 LU Junyao 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 5%
53 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
54 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
54 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
56 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
57 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
58 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
59 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
60 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
61 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
62 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
63 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
64 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
65 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
66 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
67 REID Sobia 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
68 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
69 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
70 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
71 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
72 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
73 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 99% 93% 60% 8%
74 LEE Olivia 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
75 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7%
76 LONADIER Keira 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
77 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
78 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
79 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
80 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
80 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27% 2%
82 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27% 2%
83 NING Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
84 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% 1%
85 RANDLEMAN Teresa 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
86 LIU Nicole 100% 100% 95% 66% 22% 3% -
87 FURMAN Maria 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
88 YOU Emily 100% 99% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
89 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
90 KUMAR Eva 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
91 BARON Sabina 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
92 GUJJA Misha 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
93 LEEDER Elizabeth 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
94 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
95 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
96 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
97 ZENG Katrina 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
98 FREEMAN Kate 100% 78% 34% 6% - -
99 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
100 KIM Jayna 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
101 DAHER Yasmine 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
102 KALE Anika A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
103 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% 1% -
104 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 6%
105 LI Alisha 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
106 DUMAS Marie 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
106 FERNLUND Helen 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
108 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
108 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
110 LU Samantha R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
110 XIONG Angelica 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
110 ZHANG Yixuan 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
113 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
114 SHU Youshan 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3% -
115 YU Nicole J. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 2%
116 MUN Brianna K. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
117 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
118 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 99% 91% 59% 16% 1%
119 CHANG Celine A. 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
120 LI Judy 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
121 NEISINGH Isabelle 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
122 PHUKAN Indra 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
123 SONG Angela 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
124 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
125 AI Amy 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
125 CHENG Katherine 100% 68% 22% 4% - - -
127 SENYUVA Su 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
128 LEE Olive 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 1%
129 YAO Yilin 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
130 GAO Judy 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
131 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
131 CARRIER Meredith 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1% -
133 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% - -
134 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
135 WITTE Vera 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
136 LIN Ashley 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 2% -
137 HICKS Grace 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
138 LEE Rachel 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% -
139 BUSH emma 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
140 FAN Elizabeth 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
141 CANNING Charlotte 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%
142 GEVA Eliana 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% - -
143 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
144 LEE Samantha X. 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% - -
145 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
146 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
147 GUESNARD Maelig 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
148 CHI Chelsea 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
149 MENDOZA zoie 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% - -
150 BEAVER Ava 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
151 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
152 KORKIN Alice 100% 99% 89% 49% 12% 1% -
153 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
153 DUONG Zoey 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
155 LI Suri 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
156 RUSSELL Alison 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
157 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
158 ANDERSON Claire 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
159 TRAN Helena 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
160 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
160 LIANG Jingjing 100% 78% 34% 6% - -
162 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
163 HUANG Lanlan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
164 SHIV Avni 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
165 LI Clara 100% 90% 55% 15% 1% -
166 LIU Baihan 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
167 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
168 CHOI Grace 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
169 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
170 BROWN Riley 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
171 CHUANG Ramona 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
171 CHA Eugenie 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
173 MARTIN Adriana 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
174 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 98% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
175 WANG Angelina 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
176 LEWIS Rachel 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
177 DAYAL Saahira 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
178 TANG Elaine 100% 68% 17% 2% - - -
179 TONG Lauren 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
180 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
181 ROMERO KURI Celeste 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% - -
182 DU Shunyi(Wendy) 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
183 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
183 HAU Olivia 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
185 MULAGARI Swarasai 100% 37% 6% - - -
186 LI Fei 100% 94% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
187 YIN Gabriela 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
187 SCANLAN Claire 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
189 YAO KATHARINE 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
190 BLANCO Ariia 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
190 PULLARA Ashley 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
190 TAMBELLINI Savannah 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
193 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
193 DONDISCH Andrea 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
195 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
196 MEWES Katie M. 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
197 FONG Carys 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
198 NGUYEN Ella 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
199 ANDREWS Katherine 100% 27% 3% - - - -
200 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 13% 1% - - - -
201 CONNOLLY Natasha 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.