Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, March 24, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
2 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
3 HENDERSON James C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
3 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
5 ROPER Evan C. 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 6%
6 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 PARK Collin D. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
8 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
9 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
10 MOORE Evan M. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
11 BOHRA Rohan 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
13 DU Gavin J. 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 1%
14 LEONARD Cole 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3%
15 BAKER Keith L. 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
16 CRUZ-BARBEN Julian 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
17 ELDER John 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
18 KOTELNIKOV Brian 100% 79% 35% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.