The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/DV2/VET) & Non-Regional Team

Div I-A Women's Épée

Friday, December 16, 2022 at 8:00 AM

John T. Rhodes Myrtle Beach Sports Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
2 SAYERS Kali 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
3 ZHANG Yixuan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
5 MUELLER Polo 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
6 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 BENZAN India 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 4%
8 DONGES Anna 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
9 POLANICHKA Nicole P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
10 SPURLIN Alicen 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
11 WANG Zarina 100% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
12 MOON Seojung 100% 100% 89% 53% 16% 2%
13 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
14 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
15 WONG Caitlin 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
16 NIEMAN Anjolie 100% 78% 35% 7% - -
17 FAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
18 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
19 BANKS Lauren M. 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
20 LORENTSON Dawn M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 22%
21 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
22 JACKSON Viktoria 100% 97% 73% 30% 5% -
23 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
24 PLAZA-GASALLA Gloria 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
25 ALLEY Mary Ellis 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
26 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 3%
27 ROWLAND May 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
28 BRITTON Kiera 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
29 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 100% 82% 43% 11% 1%
30 MIHILL Margaret 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
31 NIEMAN Aubrey 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
32 BYRON Karen J. 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% -
33 JULIEN Erica 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% -
34 WILKENS Patricia A. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
35 MAY Courtney 100% 2% - - - -
36 SHARIF Cate 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.