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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DAI Zizhuo (Zizi)	-	-	2%	10%	27%	38%	22%
2	TANG Melody Fujiao	-	2%	14%	32%	34%	16%	2%
3	PAULUS Sloane E.	-	-	1%	11%	32%	40%	16%
3	CHEN Renee	-	-	-	1%	9%	36%	54%
5	LAI Sophia	-	-	4%	17%	34%	32%	12%
6	GAO Anne	2%	16%	33%	31%	15%	3%	-
7	ZOU Ella	-	5%	21%	35%	28%	10%	1%
8	CHERNYKH Elina	-	6%	22%	36%	27%	8%	1%
9	REN Kayley	-	-	2%	10%	27%	39%	22%
10	HO Addison	-	-	2%	13%	40%	45%
11	PENG Serena	-	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	25%
12	ZHANG Ivy	-	3%	24%	40%	26%	7%	1%
13	SULTER Aurelie	-	2%	11%	27%	34%	21%	5%
14	WYNN Kylie	-	2%	14%	35%	38%	11%
15	BROWN Lola	-	2%	10%	27%	35%	22%	5%
16	SWANSON Alexa	-	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	2%
17	DAVIS Logan	-	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	4%
18	JOHNSON Shelby	-	4%	15%	30%	31%	16%	3%
19	DENG Melissa	-	1%	6%	20%	34%	29%	9%
20	WANG Yudi	-	3%	13%	28%	33%	18%	4%
21	PARK Leah	-	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%
22	LICHTENSTEIGER Megan	-	2%	10%	29%	37%	19%	3%
23	VANMOORSEL Faye	5%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%
24	WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy)	1%	8%	23%	33%	25%	9%	1%
25	WANG Joanna	1%	6%	19%	33%	28%	12%	2%
26	LUO Miranda	1%	9%	24%	33%	24%	8%	1%
27	YUEN Elsie	9%	28%	34%	21%	7%	1%	-
28	COLLINS Anna	-	2%	15%	36%	33%	13%	2%
29	HAN Gian	2%	13%	29%	32%	19%	5%	1%
30	HUANG Yuwen	-	2%	10%	26%	35%	22%	5%
31	CUI alivia	3%	16%	31%	30%	16%	4%	-
32	COX Sophia	1%	13%	33%	34%	16%	3%	-
33	MASON-DARNELL Zoe	12%	31%	33%	18%	5%	1%	-
34	TORII-KARCH Erika	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
35	DESAI Esha	3%	23%	38%	26%	8%	1%	-
36	POPOKH Aleksandra	-	1%	12%	33%	36%	16%	2%
37	ALVAREZ Isabella	6%	27%	38%	23%	5%	-
38	CHANG Nola	23%	41%	27%	7%	1%	-
39	ALKADI Mai	1%	9%	24%	33%	24%	8%	1%
40	AADHI Hansika	3%	21%	36%	27%	11%	2%	-
41	CAMPBELL June	5%	21%	33%	27%	12%	3%	-
42	STONE Sydney	4%	28%	38%	22%	6%	1%	-
43	LAU Christina	18%	59%	20%	3%	-	-	-
44	FRANCIS Sofia	69%	29%	2%	-	-	-	-
45	CHANG Janelle	61%	32%	6%	1%	-	-	-
45	AMANAT Inaba	62%	31%	6%	1%	-	-	-
47	DONG Angelina	42%	40%	15%	3%	-	-	-
47	DONG Christina	7%	24%	34%	24%	9%	2%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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