The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 2:00 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHMIDT Isabel - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
2 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - - 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
3 ZHANG XUANYI - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 LIN Nicole - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
5 PABIAN Emilia - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4%
6 KONDEV Elizabeth - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
7 DANG Kelia - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
8 KANG Ellie - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
9 MANN Sophia J. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
10 CHAVAN Arya - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
11 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 3% 16% 37% 35% 10%
12 FREEMAN Armine 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
13 GARRETT Madrid - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
14 ZHAI AMY - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
15 KU Alathea-Joy 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
16 XU Kaylyn - 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
17 KINKADE Ellie - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
18 KHOST Maeve 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% -
19 LIN Elaine - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
20 NAIR Supriya - 11% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
21 CHEN Elaine - 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
22 NGUYEN Madeleine 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
23 WANG Peijia 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
24 MUNGUIA Mila 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
25 KITSON Sasha 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
26 LIN Annika - 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
27 KIM Karen 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
28 WANG Jiayi 4% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
29 SENGUPTA Jia 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
30 KWON Hannah 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
31 FUNG Iris 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
32 BAERENWALD Welles 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
33 CONG Anne 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
34 MOON Claire 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
35 CHI Claire 2% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1%
36 SUNG Isabella 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
37 SEO Yunseo 90% 9% - - - - -
38 ORIA Isabel 40% 45% 14% 2% - - -
39 CHERON Helene 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% - -
39 YE Madeleine 3% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.