The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Monday, December 19, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
2 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
3 HALE Reagan 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4% -
3 HE Anna 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
5 PEI Claire 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
6 RAMEY Alexa 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 NGUYEN Renee 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
8 YU Chloe 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
9 HARMON Nikkole 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
10 FU Shannon 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
11 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30%
12 OLSON Olivia 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
13 CHANG Allison 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
14 NOCHOVKA Nika 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
15 MARTIN-HARVEY Connelly 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
16 BUZZINI Julia 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
17 KAMALDEV Anya 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
18 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4%
19 DAI Mina (Chenxi) 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
20 MIAO Anthea 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
21 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 93% 61% 19% 1%
22 VEGA-BRANDT Gabriella 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
23 DU Chelsea 100% 98% 86% 55% 23% 5% -
24 LIN Gianna 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
25 YU Xintong 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
26 DU Chloe 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 2%
27 ZHAO Ellie 100% 97% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
28 HE Elsa 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
29 SLOAN Estelle 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
30 YOUNG Nicole 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
31 VARIPILLI Saanvika 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
32 WILSON Ella 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
33 LI Ariel 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
34 POSS Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 10% 1%
35 BRUMMETT Catherine 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
36 CAMPOS Sophia 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
37 MARTINEZ Adeline 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
38 BARTLETT Avery 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
39 RAMAKRISHNAN Rebekah 100% 99% 86% 45% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.