The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, December 19, 2022 at 2:30 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
3 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 CONG Anne 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
5 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
6 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
7 SUNG Isabella 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
8 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
9 ZHU Avril 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
10 BAERENWALD Welles 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
11 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
12 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
13 KWON Hannah 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
14 SUNG Olivia 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
15 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
16 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
17 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
18 MOON Claire 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
19 HU Ashley 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
20 XIAÖ Cindy 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
21 IPE Anjali 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% -
22 ZHANG Olivia 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
23 SEO Yunseo 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
24 YE Madeleine 100% 66% 21% 4% - - -
25 YUEN Nicole 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
26 JOSHI Samika 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
27 ROBBINS Adele 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
28 TREJO Lucia 100% 76% 28% 5% - - -
29 KO Ariel 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
30 CHACKO Anne 100% 81% 33% 7% 1% - -
31 CHERON Helene 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
31 KIM Grace 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5%
33 LEE Chaewon 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.