Manchen Friday Night Foil Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Friday, December 23, 2022 at 6:15 PM

Manchen Academy of Fencing - Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 GUPTA Varun 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
2 EYER Hailey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 LIGOS Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
3 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
5 TORRES Treston 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 67% 32% 6%
5 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
7 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
7 JANNEY Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 7%
9 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
10 TRUBETSKI David 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
11 YU Stephen 100% 99% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
12 POPE Alexander 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
13 NUNLEY Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 1%
14 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
15 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
16 NITTEL Jake 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
17 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
18 REZA Farazi 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2% -
19 WANG Brian 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
20 SHANNON Jack 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - - -
21 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 94% 72% 39% 14% 3% - -
22 BASILE Gianna 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - - -
23 STURGIS Zachary 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% - -
24 HECHT Joel 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
25 MURPHY Damian 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
26 SCARLETT Skye 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1% -
27 GAO Gary 100% 46% 9% 1% - - - -
28 CHENG Austyn 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% - -
28 SALVO Ethan 100% 95% 71% 34% 10% 1% - -
30 COMO Gabriella 100% 59% 18% 3% - - - -
31 WEISS Zachary 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1% - -
32 MATHEWS Aiden 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.