Event Results
Moe Foundation Foil Open #161Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | JIANG Owen | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 2 | SULLIVAN Jackson | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 3 | LUNG Katerina | V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | MCLEAN Miles | V V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 5 | TSAI Max | D V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 6 | HAO Danica | V D V D V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 7 | SHENG Katherine | D D V V V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 8 | GARDINER Luke J. | V V D D D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 9 | DU Hannah | V D D V V V | D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 10 | JIANG Claire | V V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 11 | ZHOU Sophia | D D V V V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 12 | COELHO Sofia | D V D D V V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 13 | XIAO Bowen | V D V D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 14 | WILBERT Matthew | D V D V D D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 15 | OLIVEIRA Lavinia | D D V D D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 16 | GARDINER Sophia | D D D V D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 17 | ZHAO Brian | D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 18 | ZHAO Brandon | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 19 | AHOUSE Sophia | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |