January Banana Tournament

Senior Mixed Foil

Tuesday, January 3, 2023 at 6:15 PM

Forest Hills Elementary - Eden Prairie, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 WAKEHAM Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 46% 18% 3%
2 WAKEHAM Timothy 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 47% 22% 6% 1% -
3 MCKINLEY Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 54% 28% 11% 3% - -
3 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 100% 97% 84% 59% 30% 10% 2% - - -
5 MARTIN William 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 48% 20% 4%
6 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 63% 34% 12% 2% -
7 CHEZ Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
8 VELAZQUEZ Rosa 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 55% 26% 8% 1% - -
9 BULLARD Sydney 100% 96% 76% 43% 16% 4% 1% - - - -
10 OSTFIELD Matteo 100% 100% 98% 88% 65% 35% 13% 3% - - -
11 MADSEN Lindsey 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.