Let it Snow Winter Fencing

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 DUELL Jacob P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 85%
3 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 100% 91% 45%
5 PEZZAT Daniel S. 100% 92% 58% 16% 1%
6 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
8 SEMP Iain 100% 97% 75% 30% 2%
9 CROWDER Andrew E. 100% 93% 64% 22% 2%
10 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 98% 71% 12%
11 TETTERTON Jr Joseph S. 100% 87% 50% 14% 1% -
12 EATON David 100% 100% 97% 75% 13%
13 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 6%
14 ZIMSKY James 100% 95% 72% 31% 5% -
15 HARPER Wesley 100% 85% 43% 9% -
16 DYER John G. 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
17 MAGGY Melanie D. 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
18 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 92% 51% 12% 1%
19 BIELEWICZ Nicholas 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% -
20 MORRIS Luke 100% 83% 44% 11% 1% -
21 TREADWAY Ella 100% 35% 3% - -
22 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 56% 15% 2% -
23 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 90% 58% 20% 2% -
25 LARSON Winston 100% 70% 26% 4% -
26 SNELL Angelina 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
27 HUEY Curtis E. 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% -
29 HANSON Beckett 100% 88% 42% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.