Event Results
January NACSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. | D V V V D V | V V V V | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 2 | BIEBEL Joseph E. | D V V D D | V V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 3 | MAYER Richard | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 3 | STREB Joseph S. | D D V V V V | V V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 5 | PATTERSON Jan (Janmon) M. | V V V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 6 | THOMISZER Frank | V V V D V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 7 | MCCARTHY Daniel (Dan) W. | V V V V V D | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 8 | BALLARD Mark V. | V V V V D D | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 9 | RESS Michael A. | V V D V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 10 | PIATKOWSKI-NAZARRO RPT Marek W. | V D V V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 11 | SESSIONS Adrian | D V D V D V | D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 12 | HOLLINGSWORTH Frank J. | D D D V V V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 13 | CARVEY Davis W. | D V D D V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 14 | PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. | V D V D D D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 15 | KAZIMIROFF Paul B. | V D D D V D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 16 | MELCHIOR Donald L. | D D D D D D | V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 17 | BRYKCZYNSKI James V. | D V D D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 18 | HILL David E. | D D D D V | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 19 | WILSON Ronald F. | D D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 20 | REA John P. | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |