January NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Sunday, January 8, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
2 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
3 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
5 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
6 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
7 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
8 MORALES Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35% 5%
9 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
11 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
12 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
13 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
14 TOLEDO AMES Julieta Isabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
15 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
16 LU Elaine 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
17 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
18 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
19 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
20 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
21 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 7%
22 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 3%
23 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
24 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 89% 54% 18% 2%
25 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
26 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
27 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
28 CHAN Casey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 12%
29 THURGOOD Madison C. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
30 HE Charlotte 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
31 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
32 LIU Rachel 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
33 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
34 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
35 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
36 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
37 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
38 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
39 PONICH Marissa 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
40 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
41 MARYASH Samantha 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% < 1% -
42 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
43 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
44 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
45 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
45 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
47 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17% 2%
48 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
49 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
50 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
51 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
52 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
53 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
54 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
55 SHI Cathleen 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
55 PAUL Lila 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
57 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 7%
58 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
59 YANG Lea 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
60 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
61 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
62 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
63 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
64 PINCUS Emma Y. 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
65 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
65 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
67 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
68 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
68 KER Grace 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3% -
70 HUANG MADELINE 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% < 1% -
71 JUNG Irene 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
72 KIM Marley I. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2%
73 BROWN Emma 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
74 YANG Ashley M. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9% -
75 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
76 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
77 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 10%
78 STONE Hava S. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
79 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
80 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
81 SPRINGER Ella 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
82 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 94% 66% 24% 4% -
83 WU Helen 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
84 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
85 XIAO julie 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
86 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
87 HONE Katarina G. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
88 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
89 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
89 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
91 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
92 TURNER Zoe Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
93 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 13% 1%
94 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
95 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 88% 53% 17% 2%
96 CHAN Leanne 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
97 BILILIES Sophia 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
98 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
98 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
100 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
101 NGUYEN Siena 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
102 WEINBERG Alexandra L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
103 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 98% 85% 51% 14% 1%
104 LACSON Sarah 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
105 TONG Jessie 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
106 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
107 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
107 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
109 YODER Bridget H. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
110 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
111 HOLMES Emma 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
112 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
112 NI Sharon 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
112 JEONG Katie 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
115 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
116 SO Catelyn 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
116 COLTER Aurora 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
118 HASSAN Aziza R. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
119 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
120 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
121 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
121 CHANG Audrey 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
123 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
124 HUNG Anna 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
125 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
126 GORMLEY Arwen E. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
127 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2%
128 LEE Sophia 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
129 WEI Vivian W. 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
130 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
131 CHANG Emily 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
132 ALTMAN Leigh 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
133 TUNG Renee 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
133 NATH Trisha 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
135 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
136 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 4%
137 CHEN Ashley 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
138 DUNLAP Allison N. 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
139 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
140 FESTA Carina 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
141 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
142 WU Erica L. 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
142 DHAR Aamina 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
142 SCOTT Eve 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
145 MUND Ruth 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
146 SADOVA Olga 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
146 SINHA Anika 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
148 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
149 GLUCK Myriam 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
150 ELSHAKANKIRI Janna 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
151 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
152 KHAN Alissa 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
153 LI Amanda C. 100% 99% 87% 55% 15%
154 LU Amy 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
154 CHEN Jessica 100% 65% 22% 3% - - -
156 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% -
157 KATZ Anat 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
158 PALEO Gabriella 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
159 CHIANG Emily 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
159 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
161 YU Zhiang 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.