Event Results

Div I Women's Épée

January NACSurprise Map

Monday, January 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM Louisville, KY, USA
195 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. V V D V V V V V V V V V 5.5 5 -0.5
2 KETKAR Ketki V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.1 6 +0.9
3 OXENREIDER Tierna A. V V V V V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
3 CEBULA Anne V D V V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
5 PARK Faith K. V D V V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
6 BASSA Francesca A. V V V V V D V V V D 5.6 5 -0.6
7 CHIN Isabella D V V D V V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
8 GAJJALA Sharika R. D V V D V D V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
9 HUSISIAN Hadley N. V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
10 WANG Elizabeth V V V V V V V V D 3.3 6 +2.7
11 LIN Jessica Y. V V V D V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
12 GRADY Miriam A. V D V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
12 WATRALL Christina D V V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
14 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. D D V V V V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
15 CALDERARO Margherita V V V V V D V V D V D D V V V V D 7.1 8 +0.9
16 ZIGALO Elizabeth V D D V V V D D D D V V V V V D 6.0 5 -1.0
17 LAN Alice S. V D D V V D V V V V V V V V D 5.4 9 +3.6
18 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. V V V V V D V D 4.8 5 +0.2
18 JAKEL Sophia N. V V V D V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
20 XIAO Ruien D V V V V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
21 JOYCE Michaela V D V V V D V D 4.6 4 -0.6
22 GU Sarah V D D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
23 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. D V V V V D V D 5.0 4 -1.0
23 NING Emma V V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
25 MACHULSKY Leehi V D V V V D V D 4.1 4 -0.1
26 BOUDREAU Justine V V V D V V V V D V D V V V D 5.6 9 +3.4
27 WANG Karen V V D V V V D V D V D V V V D 8.2 8 -0.2
27 KORFONTA Jolie V D V D D V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
29 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. V V V V V V V D V D V D V V D 9.7 9 -0.7
30 KWON Athina D V V D D V V D D D V V V V D 6.7 6 -0.7
31 TYLER Syd D D V V D V D D V V V D V V D 6.7 6 -0.7
32 ROSS Naomi O. V V V V V V V V D D V D V D 7.0 9 +2.0
33 TOBY Natalia R. V V V V D V D 4.5 5 +0.5
33 LEE Sumin D V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
35 LIU Charlene (Kai) D V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
36 KHAMIS Yasmine A. V V D V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
37 MEHROTRA Anya D V V V V V D V V V D V D 5.8 8 +2.2
37 YIN Julia D V V V V V V D V D V V D 6.2 8 +1.8
39 HU Grace D D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
40 WASHINGTON Isis V V D V D V D 5.1 4 -1.1
41 MYLER AnneMarie V V V D D D V V V D D V V D 5.0 7 +2.0
42 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) V V V D V V D D V V V V V D 7.9 9 +1.1
43 WANG Nora D D D D V V D V V V D V V D 6.4 6 -0.4
44 MILLETTE Marie Frederique V V V V V V D V D V V V D 8.0 9 +1.0
45 FORNARIS Susana D V V V D V V D V D D V V D 9.4 7 -2.4
46 DORVAL Anne-Marie D V V V V D V D D V V V D 7.0 7 -
47 KHARCHYNA Polina V V V D V V V V D D D V D 5.8 7 +1.2
48 XUAN Nicole J. V V V V V V V V V D D D D 8.4 9 +0.6
49 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. V V V V D D V V D V D V D 6.4 7 +0.6
50 FALLON Kyle R. V V D V D D D 3.5 3 -0.5
51 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. V D V D V D V V D D V D V D 8.5 6 -2.5
52 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia V V D D V V V D D V V D V D 6.3 7 +0.7
53 MAO Amy V V D D V D D V D D V V V D 6.1 6 -0.1
54 CHU Audrey V V V V V V D V D V V D D 8.3 9 +0.7
55 YAMANAKA Mina V V D D V V V V D V D D V D 8.6 7 -1.6
56 KOWALSKY Rachel A. D D V D V D D D V V V D V V D 6.2 5 -1.2
57 KETKAR Mallika D V V D V D D V D V V D V V D 6.9 6 -0.9
58 WU Amelia V D V D V D D D D V V V V D 5.8 5 -0.8
59 SMOTRITSKY Mia V D V D D V D D D D V V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
60 ANDERSON Claire D D V V D V D V D V D D V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
61 PAPADAKIS Lily V V V V V V D D V D V D V D 5.7 8 +2.3
62 PADHYE Tanishka V V D D V V D V D D D V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
63 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. D V V D D V D D V D D V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
64 CAFASSO Natalya V D V D V V D D V D V D V V D 3.7 6 +2.3
65 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. V V V V V D V D D V D V V D 4.8 8 +3.2
66 GANDHI Sedna S. V V V V V D V D V D D V V D 8.9 8 -0.9
67 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. V V V V D D V V V D D D V D 6.6 7 +0.4
68 YU Nicole J. V D D V V D V V D D D V V D 5.1 6 +0.9
68 KUZNETSOV Victoria D D D V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
70 HUELLAS-BRUSKIEWICZ Marie-Rose R. V D V V V V D D V D D V V D 5.6 7 +1.4
71 GUJJA Misha V V V D D D V D D D V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
72 RUNIONS Emersyn D V D V V D V D V D D V D 4.6 5 +0.4
73 CALDERA Lexi I. V V V V D D D V D V D V D 4.4 6 +1.6
74 VAN MARION Kirsten C. V V V D D V V D D V D D V D 5.7 6 +0.3
74 LUO Ashley D V V D V V V D D D V D V D 6.2 6 -0.2
76 REID Anousheh V D V D D D V D V D D V 4.4 4 -0.4
77 YANG Alisa V D D V V V D V D V D D V 4.6 6 +1.4
77 MELLES Anne-Mai V V V V V D D D D V D V V 5.6 7 +1.4
79 WITTER Catherine A. D V V D D D D V V D D V 4.8 4 -0.8
80 CHEN Lefu V V V V V V D V V D D D V 7.4 8 +0.6
81 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. D V D D D D 3.7 1 -2.7
82 ZHOU Wenjun V D D V D V D D D D D V 3.6 3 -0.6
83 KIM Zoe L. D D V V V V V D D D D D V 6.4 5 -1.4
84 LURYE Sarah V V V V D D D D D V D D V 8.1 5 -3.1
84 ISERT Sarah D D V D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
86 NGUYEN Tallulah D D D D D V 3.4 1 -2.4
87 POLANICHKA Nicole P. V D V V V D D D D D V D V 5.3 5 -0.3
87 PROCTOR Sara J. D D V V V D D V D D D D V 6.4 4 -2.4
87 LI Zhenni (Jenny) V D V V D D V D D D D D V 2.7 4 +1.3
90 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) D D V D V V D V D D D D V 5.0 4 -1.0
90 SEMIKIN Julia V D V V D D D D D D V V 5.5 4 -1.5
92 LORD Sarah-Eve D D D V V V D D V D D D V 2.7 4 +1.3
93 KUNJAN Lena R. D V V D V D D V D D D D V 5.8 4 -1.8
94 ABRAMSON Mariela R. D V V V D D D V D D D D V 2.1 4 +1.9
95 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. V D V V V V D D D D D D V 6.4 5 -1.4
96 GUMAGAY Erika L. V D D D V D D D D D D D V 4.3 2 -2.3
97 KIM Jayna D D V V D V D D D D D D V 3.2 3 -0.2
98 KALE Anika A. V V V D D D D D D D D V 4.9 3 -1.9
99 LEE Michelle J. V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
100 FOELLMER Kristin V V V V D V D 4.3 5 +0.7
101 LU Junyao V V D V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
102 SPRINGER Sierra V V V D V D 2.4 4 +1.6
103 FAN Elizabeth V V V D V D 1.5 4 +2.5
104 MUN Brianna K. V V D V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
105 REID Sobia V V V D D V D 3.3 4 +0.7
106 CAPELLUA Mariasole V V D V D V D 3.7 4 +0.3
107 DONDISCH Sophia D V D V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
108 PEHLIVANI Zara V V V D D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
109 LIU Christina A. V D V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
110 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. D V V V D V D 4.4 4 -0.4
111 CANNING Charlotte D V V V V D D 1.9 4 +2.1
112 NGUYEN Audrey V V D D V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
113 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. D D V V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
113 YAO Yilin V D V D V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
115 SONG Angela V V V D V D D 2.4 4 +1.6
116 MCLANE Lauren V D V V D V D 4.5 4 -0.5
117 FENG ge D D V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
118 DESAI Meera P. V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
119 YOU Emily V D V V D D 1.9 3 +1.1
120 WEBER Nora V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
121 ELSTON Sophia V D V D V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
122 SWENSON Nikita G. V D V D V D D 2.3 3 +0.7
123 ZHENG Evelyn V D V D V D D 3.1 3 -0.1
124 SENYUVA Su V D V D V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
125 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra V V D D V D D 3.3 3 -0.3
126 JAKEL Alysa C. D V D V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
126 BEI Karen V D D V D V D 4.1 3 -1.1
128 LEE Olive V V D D D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
129 ZHANG Victoria R. V D D V V D D 2.7 3 +0.3
130 WONG Alexandra R. D D V V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
131 ASHER Valerie D D V D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
132 DOUGLAS Elizabeth (Liz) L. V V D D V D D 3.0 3 -
133 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. V D V V D D D 2.5 3 +0.5
134 LIN Elaine D V V D V D D 2.3 3 +0.7
135 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. D D D V V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
136 GORNOVSKY Abigail V D V V D D D 2.6 3 +0.4
136 SHU Youshan V D D V V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
136 LI Fei V V D V D D D 0.8 3 +2.2
139 WELLS Tessa (Tesla) M. D D V V D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
140 LEE Olivia V V D V D D D 2.7 3 +0.3
141 LOMBARD Ella V V D D D D 3.8 2 -1.8
142 BINDAS Blodwen S. V D D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
143 SMUK Daria A. V D D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
144 SMUK Alexandra S. D D V V D D 1.5 2 +0.5
145 WITTE Vera D D V V D D 2.3 2 -0.3
146 LEE yat ching D D D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
147 JOBALIA Ria D D V D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
148 KRUMHOLZ Nicole V D D D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
149 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) D D V V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
150 FURMAN Maria D V D D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
151 LU Samantha R. D V D D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
152 LONADIER Keira V D D V D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
152 CARRIER Meredith D D D V V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
152 SUN MANRONG V D D D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
155 BUSH emma V V D D D D D 2.6 2 -0.6
156 LANZMAN Anna B. D V D D D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
157 TONG Sarah Shen D D V D D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
158 LIANG Jingjing D D D V V D D 0.5 2 +1.5
159 HENDRICK Heidi M. D V D D D V 2.5 2 -0.5
160 MINOR Lindsey V D D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
161 SCHMIDT Lori M. D V D V D D 3.3 2 -1.3
162 BOTNER Olivia D V D D D V 1.8 2 +0.2
163 LEE Yedda D D V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
164 KENT Elizabeth J. D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
165 SU Evelyn D V V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
166 AZMEH nour D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
167 LIN Ashley D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
168 KIM Elizabeth Y. D V D D D 2.5 1 -1.5
169 MUELLER Emma M. D D D D V 1.7 1 -0.7
170 POTAPENKO Margarita D. D V D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
171 CHA Eugenie D D D D V 1.0 1 -
172 YAO Melinda D D D V D 2.6 1 -1.6
173 QI Jarynne Valerie D D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
174 PINNAMANENI Drithi D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
175 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. D V D D D D 3.3 1 -2.3
176 SHIV Avni D V D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
177 O'DONNELL Amanda A. D D D D V D 4.9 1 -3.9
178 NI Emma D D D D V D 4.1 1 -3.1
179 KUMAR Eva V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
180 PRIHODKO Nina D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
181 YAO KATHARINE D D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
181 HICKS Grace D D D D D V 1.7 1 -0.7
183 HONG Elaine V D D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
184 HUANG Lanlan D D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
185 LONG Cindy D D D V D D 3.0 1 -2.0
186 POIRIER Ariane D D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
187 TAPIA Sandy D D D D V D 3.2 1 -2.2
187 AI Amy D D V D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
189 CHANG Celine A. D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
190 GAO Judy D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
191 ENRILE Erica D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
192 YAO Jillian D D D D D D 2.7 0 -2.7
193 CHENG Ava D D D D D D 2.6 0 -2.6
194 LI Charlotte D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
195 HSIU Elizabeth D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%