Event Results
January NACSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ELBAKRY Mahmoud | V V V V | V V V V | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 2 | LEE Ivan J. | V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 3 | ANFORA Andrew T. | V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 3 | KALLIO Jeffrey E. | V D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 5 | BABAYEV Ethan I. | V V D V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 6 | PLONKA Derek | D V V D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 7 | ZIRKLE James | D V D V | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 8 | WAXLER Aaron M. | V D D D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 9 | DHAR asif | D D V V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 10 | DIRSMITH Benjamin J. | V D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 11 | DUDNICK Christian | D V D V | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 12 | DAWSON Todd | D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 13 | HERNDON Jameson D. | D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 14 | WANG Albert | D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 14 | KATZ Jason | D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |