Event Results
January NACSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MATT Chris | D V V V V | V V V V V | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 2 | KIZIK Val | V D V V V | V V V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 3 | LUNDBORG Mark R. | V V V D V | V V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 3 | BUKOWSKI Todd | D V V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 5 | RUNYAN Joshua | V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 6 | SRERE Mark A. | V V V D V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 7 | KASTOR Jacaeber | V V V V D | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 8 | NEVEROVICH Vitaly V. | V D V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 9 | HECK Steven D. | V D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 10 | WILDMAN Steve | V D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 11 | KAOURIS George | V V V D V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 12 | HICHA Paul R. | V V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 13 | KRASNICH Mike | V V D V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 14 | GUEBLE Jeffrey R. | D V V V D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 15 | LEAR Donald W. | V D V D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 16 | ANTHONY Jr Donald K. | V V D V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 17 | KOPYLOV Dmitri | D V D V V | D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 18 | LILLARD Samuel N. | D V V D V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 19 | CRETEN joachim | V D V V D | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 20 | DAHL Chris | D V V V D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 21 | MALNATI Donald H. | D V V D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 22 | GRAINGER Robert | V D D V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 23 | MYERS Brent M. | D V D D V | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 24 | CHAMBERS Thomas J. | V D D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 25 | MCLAUGHLIN Joseph R. | V D V D D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 26 | GORMLEY Peter J. | V D D D V | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 27 | ZINNI Gene | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 28 | BLAIR III Ray H. | D D D V D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 29 | GRAFF Jon | D V D D D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 30 | GILLESPIE Jeremy W. | D D D V D | V D | 0.1 | 1 | +0.9 |
| 31 | ELDER John | D D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 32 | SU Ji | D D D D D | V D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 33 | GREEN Robert | D D D D V | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 34 | PEREIRA Gabriel | D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 35 | ASHBY Rob | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 36 | SIGNORELLI Sam F. | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |