Event Results
January Friday Night FencingSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RIPLEY Ian | V V V V V | V V V | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 2 | CRAPNELL Daniel | D V V D D | V V V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 3 | WINGET William (Bill) D. | D V V V D | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | LAUER Michael | V V D V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 5 | BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. | V V V V V | D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 6 | MARCUS Peter | V D V V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 7 | GUILFORD Corey | V D V D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 8 | ARMBRUSTER David | V V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 9 | BERGSMA Timothy | D D D V D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 10 | DAWES Isabel | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 11 | MILLER Jackson | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 12 | BESEL Natalie | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |