Ataba Fencing Club January Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SONN Rohan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
2 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
3 MCDOWELL Will 100% 93% 49% 12% 1% -
3 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman 100% 100% 83% 37% 7% -
5 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
6 RITTERBUSCH Timothy 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
7 SWENSON Nikita 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
8 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 16%
9 GLASS Timothy C 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
10 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
11 CORDIE David 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
12 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
13 TIERNEY Luke 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
14 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
15 EDMONDS-ESTES Casey 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 2%
16 ALI Adam 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% 1%
17 SCHERG Caleb 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
18 AMICH Steve 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
19 DU Joanne 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
20 BRADFORD Ethan 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
21 ALLEN Greg 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
22 HEIM Spencer 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
23 HEIM Kevin 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
24 ONO Melisa 100% 34% 4% - - -
25 KARLSON Taylor 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.