The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Visitors Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - - 7% 93%
2 CHAN Jolene - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
3 KIM Alexia 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
3 JIANG Evelyn 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
5 LEI Zitong (Meya) - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
6 CAI Veronica - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
7 LIN Elaine - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
8 WU Daisy 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
9 GONG suri - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
10 KIM Saeren 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% -
11 SUNG Isabella - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
12 YUEN Nicole 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
13 LIU kai yin aria 3% 18% 36% 32% 11% -
14 LONG Jessie 8% 31% 39% 18% 4% -
15 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
16 CAI Joanna 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
17 JOHNSON Heaven - 2% 13% 36% 38% 12%
18 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
19 NGUYEN Summer - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
20 KIM Satie 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
21 NING Lynn 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
22 DANG Madeleine 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
23 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
24 LONG Chloe 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
25 DING Jolie 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
26 JUNG Sienna 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
27 SETTY Vaidehi 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
28 CHEN Cindy 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
29 VENNE Sophie 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
30 SUTHERLAND Sadie 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
31 SHEN Elise 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
32 STAPLEY Claire 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
33 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
34 CAO Kim 13% 35% 34% 15% 2% -
35 KIM Maya 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
36 MEI Chloe 3% 20% 42% 28% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.