Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KURAEVA Vasilisa - - - 3% 19% 45% 34%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 DAMBAL Sasha - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
3 WU Yuwei - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
5 LEOU Korina - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
6 AWAD Royce - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
7 WANG JiaQi - 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5%
8 HU Anna - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
9 WANG Callie - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
10 LEE Alyson - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
11 BUSH Bethany - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
12 DAVIDOVA Kira - 2% 12% 34% 40% 13%
13 GUGALA Hanna - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
14 BERRIOS Catalina - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
15 HSU leah - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
16 GONZALEZ Veronika - - 4% 21% 43% 27% 5%
17 KU Alathea-Joy - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
18 ZHU Elaine - 1% 5% 20% 39% 29% 6%
19 HUANG Doris - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 20%
20 GONG Joy - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
21 WANG Jiayi - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
22 BORGUETA Madison - 1% 7% 28% 44% 19%
23 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
24 CHANG Norah 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
25 LI Tiffany 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
26 LIU Hannah - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
27 MARAGH Farrah E. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
28 DHAR Rana - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
29 PARK Haylie - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
30 VINOKUR Anita - 1% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
31 KWON Hannah 1% 8% 31% 40% 17% 3% -
32 NADKARNI Marisa - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
33 YE Isabella - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
34 FAN Alexandria - 4% 23% 43% 25% 4%
35 MUTHAPPAN Sahana - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
36 HILD Anya 1% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1%
37 SEBASTIAN Ava 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
38 YERENKOVA Ameliia 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
39 LEE Kaitlin 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
40 ZHANG Ashley 1% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1%
41 ZHU Avril 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
42 HO Sophia 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
43 NIU Jessica 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
43 KAUL Tara 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
45 KWON Ava - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
46 CHOI Charlotte 1% 11% 37% 36% 12% 2% -
47 SCHMIDT Yehna 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
48 ZONG Eliane 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
49 REN Katherine 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
50 KIM Grace 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
51 FUNG Iris - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
52 LIANG Claire 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 2%
53 BROWN Aria 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
54 HU Heidi 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1%
55 POWERS Langley 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
56 NEMORIN Rei - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
57 SUNG Olivia 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
58 LONG Jessie 4% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
59 CASTELO Soleil 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
60 WANG Emily 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
61 WONG Charlene 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
62 FLEEGER Sophia 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
63 LONG Chloe 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
64 SONG Emily 42% 43% 14% 2% - -
65 YAN Angela - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
66 DESAUTELS Alexandra 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
67 TA-ZHOU Sophia 16% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
68 BLUMBERG Harper 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
69 WILSON Lilia 2% 21% 41% 28% 8% 1%
70 YOUNG Sienna - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
71 XU Elaine 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
72 HEATH Isabella 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
73 MACKAY Katherine 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
74 PATEL Maia 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
75 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
76 MARGULIS Roxana 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
77 GALLAGHER Isabella 64% 31% 5% - - -
78 WANG MONA 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
79 SOUTHWELL Mia 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
80 YANG Shanzhen 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
81 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
82 SMITH Genevieve 30% 50% 18% 2% - - -
83 ZHAO Angie 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
84 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
84 WILFRET Katerina 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
86 HAGN Luna 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.