The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
2 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
3 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
5 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 17%
6 DONG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 17%
7 LI Olivia 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
8 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
9 MA Isabelle 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
10 CASCONE Sophie 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
11 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
12 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
13 SINGH Evangelina 100% 79% 35% 6% < 1% - -
14 HUANG Natalie 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
15 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
16 YIN Chloe 100% 99% 91% 60% 17% 2% -
17 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
18 BOIKE Lucille 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
19 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
20 LI Doreen 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
21 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
22 BYK Karalina 100% 59% 17% 3% - -
23 JOO Sara 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
24 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 6%
25 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
26 KENNEDY Izadora 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
27 BENNETT Eloise 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% - -
28 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 30% 5%
29 YU Yi 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
30 PAEK Mila 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
31 FILABI Aliya-Kay 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
32 MA Sophia 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
33 YANG Olivia 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
34 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
35 CAPPIELLO Francesca 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
36 YUE Alice 100% 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
37 WANG Allyson 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
38 XU Charlene 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% 1% -
39 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 4%
40 SHTEPA Sofia 100% 81% 39% 8% 1% - -
41 VAN DE KROL Anneke 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
42 PROKUP Maren 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
43 PAEK Ellie 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
44 SEREEDAR Murungoo 100% 100% 94% 68% 23% 3% -
45 ZELDIN Nina 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
45 MCCABE Ashley 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
47 XIE Sophia 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
48 ZHANG Amber 100% 86% 47% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.