The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 BIVIJI Adam - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
3 MIAO Heqi - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
3 YU BOWEN - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
5 WONG Hawken - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
6 CHAVAN Aditya - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
7 YANG LOUIS 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
8 CHOU Qianhao 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
9 SONG Aidan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
10 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 4% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% < 1%
11 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
12 LEE Brendan - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
13 YU Ian - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
14 LYU Tyler 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 7% -
15 BRISENO Ethan - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
16 CORPUZ Dylan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
17 AGARWAAL Yohan - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
18 CHANG Ethan 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
19 LIU Jayden - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
20 SLAVNOV Anton - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 1%
20 AVERY Marcus - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
22 LAU Kyrus - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
23 TITOV Zachary - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
24 KAUL Ishaan 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
25 LUCAS William 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
26 RINALDI Benigno 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
27 GUERRA Corey - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
28 GRABOWSKI Alexander - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
29 WU Vincent 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
30 PARK Emerson - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
31 LEVY Daniel 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
32 CHAN Ewan 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
33 GIOVANNOLI Luca 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
34 ZHANG Aiden 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
35 SHAPIRO Leo - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
36 MALEK Zak 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
37 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
38 BROOKS Drake - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
39 YI Andrew - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
40 POYNTON Julian - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
41 PERKINS, JR LeVar 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
42 D'AGATA Enzo 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
43 CARD Ewan - 3% 18% 39% 33% 8%
44 BURENKOV Matthew 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
45 BADMUS David - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
46 KIM Mason 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
47 DAMBAL Evan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
48 SINGH Ekam - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
49 GUO Jonathan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
50 WANG Adam 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
51 JAVIER Xavier - 2% 15% 37% 36% 11%
52 BONGIORNO Redding - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
53 JIA francis 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
54 HOWARTH Hayes - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
55 URQUILLA Devin - 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
56 GALE Major 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
57 MAUREL Louis 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
58 CHEN Kevin 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
58 LAI Mars 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
60 ZHANG Weihang - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
61 LEE Aiden 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
62 LIU Dylan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
63 LI Jayden 2% 30% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
64 LIUZHANG Ben 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
65 ALLEN Paxton 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
66 TIAGI Ronald 1% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
67 SCHRODER Theodore 26% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
68 GONG Johnny 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.