Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
3 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 7%
3 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
5 HUCHWAJDA Pola 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
6 CANSECO Carly 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
7 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
8 GUGALA Hanna 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
9 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
10 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
11 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
12 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
13 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
14 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
15 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 11%
16 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 7%
17 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
17 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
19 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
19 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
21 HU Anna 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
22 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
23 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
24 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
25 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20% 2%
26 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
27 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
28 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 95% 74% 42% 15% 3% -
29 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
30 PROBASCO Leila 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
31 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
32 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
33 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
34 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
35 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
36 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
37 KHOST Maeve 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
38 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
39 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
40 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 8%
41 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
42 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
43 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
43 CAO Sophie 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
43 PADANILAM Lily 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
46 LI Sonia 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
47 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
48 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
49 KOHLBERGER Noelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
50 MCAFEE Jada 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
51 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
51 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
53 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
54 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
55 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
56 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
57 KWON Ava 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
58 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
59 CHI Claire 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
59 MACKAY Katherine 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
61 FABRICANT Kioka R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
62 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
63 HILD Anya 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
64 MANI Francesca B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
65 HSU leah 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
66 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1%
67 FAN Alexandria 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
68 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 2% -
69 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
70 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
70 WALLER London 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
72 WANG JiaQi 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
73 BORGUETA Madison 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
74 CHEN Elaine 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
75 STADNIK Emilia 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
76 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
77 HO Sophia 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
78 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% 1%
79 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
80 CASTELO Soleil 100% 99% 71% 31% 8% 1% -
81 KWON Hannah 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
82 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
83 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
84 SHEN Emily 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
85 MUELLER Sarah 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% - -
86 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
86 XU Demi 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
88 ALAMI Amira 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
89 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
90 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 60% 15% 1% - - -
91 KAUL Tara 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
92 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
93 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
94 DHAR Rana 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
94 KIM Allison 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% - -
96 BROWN Aria 100% 92% 54% 18% 3% - -
97 ENG Madeleine 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
98 WONG Charlene 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
99 LIANG Claire 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
100 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
101 LEE Kaitlin 100% 85% 36% 7% 1% - -
102 ROHATGI Saanvi 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
103 HUANG Neila 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
104 WENG Amber 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
105 ROSADO Leah 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
106 LEE Kaelyn 100% 98% 83% 46% 10% 1% -
107 COOVADIA Malina 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
108 ROOPRAI Amarjot 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
108 POWERS Langley 100% 35% 5% - - - -
108 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 7% - - - - -
111 YAO Annabelle 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
112 SONG Emily 100% 33% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.