Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
3 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 7%
5 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 YAN William 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
7 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
8 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
9 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
10 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
10 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
12 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
13 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
14 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
15 GONG ziqian 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
16 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
17 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
18 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
19 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
20 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
21 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
22 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
23 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
24 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
25 LI Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
26 GONG zihao 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
27 AO Christopher 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
28 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 11%
29 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
30 TIAGI George 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
31 BIVIJI Ali 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
32 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
33 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
34 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
35 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
36 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
37 KERCHER Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
38 ZHENG LEON 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
39 ONG Dylan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
40 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
41 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
42 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
43 FANG Eason 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
44 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
45 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
46 GONG Gavin 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
47 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
48 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
49 KUMAR Arjun 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
50 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
51 HALL Noah 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
52 MCDONALD Finn 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
53 LI Yidong A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
54 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
55 PARKILA Lukas 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
56 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
57 LIN Felix 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
58 OH Aster 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
58 DEELY Hartigan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
60 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
61 XU Ivan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
62 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
63 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3% -
64 TURECK Nathan 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
65 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
66 SASSI Ilyas 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% < 1% -
67 KIM Samuel 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
68 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
69 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
69 WANG Weiyun 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
71 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
72 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
73 KUMAR Avinash 100% 100% 94% 62% 22% 3% -
74 HE Bowen 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 1%
75 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
76 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
77 WANG Max 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
78 LI AYDEN 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
79 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
80 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
81 SUN Andrew 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
82 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
83 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 11% 1%
84 BAI Evan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
85 BREUER Daniel 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
85 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
87 BONETTI Brayden 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
88 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
89 TSAO Alister 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% - -
90 LOO Jason 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% 1%
91 LIU Marvin 100% 99% 91% 58% 19% 2%
92 WAXLER Ryan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
93 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
94 LIU Aaron 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
95 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
96 WONG Caleb W. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
97 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
98 LIU Victor 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
98 SLEP Solomon 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
100 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
100 LIU Daniel 100% 97% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
102 ZHOU William 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
103 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
104 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% - -
105 MCCONNELL Quinlan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
106 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
106 CRAIN Bennett 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
108 BALU Aedan 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
109 LIM Kai 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
110 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
111 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
112 GORDON Samuel 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
113 CHOHAN Jibreel 100% 37% 5% - - -
114 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1%
115 ZHANG Ray 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
116 WANG Michael 100% 94% 66% 24% 4% - -
117 BAGHERI Bijan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
118 LEE Thomas 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
119 NGO Emerson 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
120 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
121 ZHAO Royce 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
122 SHAH Sohan 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% - -
123 GAO Kai 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
124 PORTER Dupree 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
124 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
126 HU Jayden 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
126 ZUCKER Jonah 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
128 SAYAR Luke 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
129 PAUL James 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
130 RINALDI Savio 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
131 FIROOZI Sam 100% 38% 4% - - - -
132 MUNOZ Jonas 100% 78% 19% 2% - - -
133 BARRY Dave 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
134 FRANCOIS Gabriel 100% 87% 36% 7% 1% -
135 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
135 LIU Ethan 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
137 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
138 MILLER Felix 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
139 DIGIACOMO Dennis G. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
139 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
139 CAREY Sam 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
139 KU Alexander 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
143 YAO Zachary 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
143 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 96% 51% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.